At 06:42 PM 9/6/01 -0500, John Foust wrote:
With prices dropping so low, computers have become
more
disposable. But even with the $200 Celeron 566 you can
buy today, it still has drive bays and memory slots and
IDE and USB I/O interfaces.
Yup and they are all disposable. Its weird but in the Bay area you can buy
an old Pentium deskside computer (P5 or P5MMX) for $50 to $75 but pull the
boards out and resell them and you can get $150 to $250.
Does commoditization necessary mean they'll no
longer be
expandable, and that they'll be expendable?
Yes. Fastest growing PC segment = "laptop" what makes laptops unique?
Nothing but a couple of PCMCIA or CARDBUS slots for "expansion" everything
else you are generally stuck with.
(Driving to the
office tonight, a very beat-up and rusty car very nearly
matched the speed of my 2001 model.) Does it mean people
won't want to buy replacement parts or upgrade options?
Generally peripherals (joysticks, firewire CDRW drives, etc) will be the
"aftermarket" like trailer hitches, KC lamps, and fuzzy dice are for cars.
What might this mean for classic computers? In fifteen
years,
some of them may be unbootable, as the ASP-like web services
they depended on have disappeared like so many dog-food-selling
dot-com ephemera sites.
Screw 15 years, I've got a computer like that right now, its called a
"I-Opener"
And one called a DivX player.
To stretch the auto analogy, even in the smallest towns
there
are still auto parts stores and repair shops and at the next
level, all the junk yards and parts dealers who fill the
needs of the repair stores.
Yup, folks like Tony who can rip a 2.5" drive out of an ancient laptop
without damaging it are going to become the new kings of the "chop shop"
kingdom.
With the surging wave of enthusiastic game-players who
rapidly
drove the pace of graphics card development far beyond what
the earlier CAD and computer graphics market ever demanded,
has emerged a new class of computer owners who eagerly
upgrade, tweak, customize and polish their systems beyond all reason.
Just like car enthusiasts. :-)
'cept a lot of game players are going to go X-pox and PS/2 here and screw
the PC.
--Chuck