At 05:40 PM 8/3/01 -0500, you wrote:
Well, I haven't watched the szene until april/may
this year, but
I'm not too confident that prices are dropping. Actually I think
we ought to keep a low profile in order to keep this classic computer
stuff from becoming a fad. Things like newspaper features will
eventually hurt us, because the one main issue with classic computer
stuff is that it's rare.
No, its not rare yet, its just hard to find. One of the things ebay has
done is bring a lot of stuff out into the open. When I got my first PDP-8 I
thought this was perhaps the most unusual event in the world, when I got my
fourth I realized that in fact they are out there but one has to look for them.
As Chuck mentioned the VAX 4000/300s on ebay their
prices are up
by now. I would be surprized if they sold for less than $150 this
time. It isn't over until it's over, as they say. The only reason
for prices may be moderate right now is it's vacation time.
The 4000/200 was actually closed at $60. Where as a few months ago just the
CPU card (a KA660) would have fetched $100 - $150. Item 1259494060 (a
4000/300) closed for $51. Prior to this I hadn't seen a 4000/300 go for
less than $300. That is prices coming down.
Have you watched the PDP-8's. It's now the 3rd
in the last 3 weeks
or so, the first two have not sold under $500 and this one is at
$200 last time I looked. The PDP-11s sold for same amount almost.
Except that last year a PDP-8 would fetch $2000 now it can't break $1000.
Again, how many people in the world want a "real" PDP-8? Not as many as you
would think.
Watch how the UNIBUS and QBUS SCSI cards trade. Over
$200 minimum.
This becomes a bit different since SCSI cards are highly leveraged, not
only do they let you use more modern (and currently dirt cheap) drives on
your classic machine they often enhance the number of OS options you have.
That puts them in demand.
Who are the buyers? Some have so high feedback numbers
that I'm
afraid those are traders who try to make money out of this.
Well we know that some of them are dealers. Mitch from Keyways buys things
on Ebay for resale as does "uechi."
In conclusion, I really think that newspaper features
about vintage
computing and conferences with lots of publicity do hurt the vintage
computer hobbyist because they invite people who merely have money
to spend on a fad.
I have to agree with Sellam here, if it gives the perception that lots of
people want to own one of these machines then it is "good" because more
people will save them.
--Chuck