7 Sep
2001
7 Sep
'01
2:29 a.m.
So what I predict, is that in the near future
(probably 1 to
2 but certainly less than 5 years) you will only see
"computers" sold as either big-bad-ass servers, or small
embeddedable controllers. The middle ground, the so called
"Personal Computer" will cease to exist as a general purpose
machine. And only the programmers will notice.
I don't think so- there is a significant market for a particular
form-factor of personal computer, the workstation, that just won't
go away. It's too small a niche market to justify the engineering
and production of a "CAD appliance" and too large to justify killing
the general purpose computer on which it's based.
Ditto for "Programming appliances", "research applicances", and so
on. These just won't come to be. Rather, the general purpose PC
will live on to fill those market niches.
Regards,
-dq
7 Sep
7 Sep
5:05 a.m.
the general purpose PC will live on to fill those
market niches.
Either its a niche device or a general purpose device.
I think the idea is that when a "Professional" device turns
"Consumer", a market split occurs and you see product lines
come about that are more clearly definable as one or the other.
Every neat invention starts as "Prosumer", and gets simplified
down to consumer, leaving pro's in a niche with at least a 10:1
price differential.
PC product development is stuck waiting for high iNet bandwith,
digital TV's and cheap flat screen. After all that happens I would
expect prices (and Pro features) to go through the floor.
John A.
8508
days inactive
8508
days old
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allain＠panix.com -
dhquebbeman＠theestopinalgroup.com