But plastic gears, at least the plastic gears found in
consumer-grade
stuff will crack as well due to said external forces.
Modern plastics _do_not_ suffer from mechanical and dimensional
stability. They will not just "go bad" due to age, like older plastics
and brasses.
Perhaps I've been very lucky, but it all my years
of repairing machinery
I have _never_ found a metal gear/pulley/etc that's suffered in this way.
Stripped teeth, sure. Wear due to lack of lubrication, sure. But not
stress-induced cracks.
You've been lucky. Also, keep in mind that many of these cracks can not be
seen, and do lead to teeth being easily stripped.
Yes, but the problem is that the gears in modern units
are not made of
'today's brass'. Or 'yesterday's brass'. They are made of
today's
plastic, often a cheap-n-nasty plastic. A plastic that cracks if you look
at it wrongly, if it gets one drop of oil on it, or whatever.
No! As stated before, modern plastics are not cheap-and-nasty. In 50
years they will be the same as they are today. If gears are used
improperly, maybe beyond their capabilities (too thin, poorly formed
teeth), that's a design issue, and they will wear out. So will the finest
brass gears. But my last point about using a found CD-ROM 50 years from
now in fairly _unused_ condition is important, as any wear inducing design
flaws will not have been given to chance to work their evil.
Yes, that is the issue. We're considering what
will be available in 50
years time (or whatever). And most consumer-grade stuff simply won't be.
Certainly it will, it small caches (or singles) found in warehouses,
estate sales, hackers that never threw the stuff away, etc.. No, they
probably won't be so common that they could be found in days in any city,
but they will be far from unobtainable.
Perhaps you can name a single CD-ROM drive that's
built with 'today's
brass' and 'today's stable plastics'. And which comes with as much
internal data as you find in 60-year-old Hallicrafters/RCA/etc repair
manuals.
If the things work (or most of them - hell, even if the survival rate
is just 10 percent in 50 years), no repair manuals will be needed. If you
get a bum unit with no manual, go to the next one and see if it works.
You will get a good one.
Again you're missing the point. I don't doubt
that an expensive unit
today would last even longer than the 28 years that my N1500 has gone.
But there simply aren't any such units about (Every VCR I have looked in
recently has had a much poorer build quality than that N1500). There may
be a few 'professional models that will last, but from what I've seen of
other equipment, I doubt that.
You have to compare the N1500 to today's high end and professional
models, and not the regular stuff. Your N1500 was far from "commercial
grade made for the masses".
It very much is the issue if you want a workign unit
in 50 years time.
Nobody realistically expects to take a 50-year-old unit off the shelf and
turn it on. We expect to have to do minor repairs.
And why will all 50 year old CD-ROMs go automatically bad? Will it be
because of the materials of the chassis changing? Well, no, not really.
Will it be because of the chips going bad? Well, some will, but certainly
not all (no fineline geometries here). Will it be because of corrosion?
Well, certainly some, but many will be found in a stable environment. Will
the lubrication go bad? No, modern lubricants are very stable (easy to
change, anyway). Will the motor go bad? Probably not - motor technolgy is
quite mature.
So exactly what do you think is the aspect that will damn all CD-ROMs to
a broken state 50 years from now?
Well, while it may take a lot less time to change one
ASIC than to recap
an old radio, I doubt it's going to be as easy to get the parts.
If they are not bad, why replace? Why assume that every chip will have
gone bad?
You seem to think that old brass gears in the tuning
drive of said old
radio might well develop stress cracks. You're probably right. But
cutting gears is well within the capability of a well-equipped home
workshop. Makeing undocumented ASICs certainly isn't.
There will be plenty of donors.
Seriously, what has that got to do with it? Running
the unit may cause
wear on mechanical bits, but surely it shouldn't start a process that
causes the unit to die, any sooner than it would have done, when powered off
and packed away. If it does, then why doesn't the factory burn-in test
start this decay process?
The decay due to time alone is getting _very_ minimal, thanks to the modern
materials. Use is the thing that will kill these units, far faster than
time alone. "No use" results in "very little decay". "Daily
use"
results in "quick fatigue".
William Donzelli
aw288(a)osfn.org