It turns out that the boards are
sagging a bit towards the center, so it's just a matter of time before
things begin to go crash. Not sure how soon that might happen, but
this sagging has occurred fairly quickly, or so it seems.
The moisture helped, but particle board does just sag over time.
But it may be a while before it crashes, and it probably will slip free
of the end supports before it actually breaks.
I had a particle board shelf over a kitchen sink in my old house. The
steam from washing dishes caused the board to sag under the weight of the
cookbooks something fierce. I had almost a full 1 foot displacement from
the low point of the center to the height of the shelf supports on the
sides. The shelf was only 5 feet long, so you can imagine how much of a
bow that was. My shelf was screwed into the side supports so it couldn't
slip out.
Mine bowed within the first year of it being there (when I moved in there
was one there that was just as bad, and I replaced it). It stayed bowed
for 2 years until I got annoyed at everything falling over from the
angle. I then screwed a hook into the shelf, and into the ceiling, and
over the course of a few days, pulled the board straight using a chain (I
couldn't add another support in the middle because it was in front of a
window). With the help of the chain, the board remained almost perfectly
straight for the last 2 years I lived there (I was never able to get it
exactly straight again and I didn't feel like replacing the shelf again
in a place I was renting).
So my guess is, you will get a large bow in that board without it
breaking. The only fear I would have is the board bowing so much it slips
off the end supports and the entire shelf drops. If you can find a way to
resupport the middle you can probably stop the bow entirely and it will
continue to give you years of happy service.
-chris
<http://www.mythtech.net>