Though the "old computer" market has
reflected little that resembles any
sort of
common sense. I can't imagine why you'd believe that an item, the supply of
which is finite, and the demand for which seems to have grown steadily
since its
introduction, in spite of its qualitative aspects, (meaning I think it is,
was,
and always will be a bit of rubbish, but that's from where I sit) would
decrease
in the future. Its value hasn't increased, but its price has. That's the way
of things collectable. After a certain point, its technical merits are
completely irrelevant. Think of it as a big, clunky, indian-head penny.
I'd say your guesstimate of a decrease in the future is based more on wishful
thinking than on a realistic view of the collectors' probable behavior.
I have no interest in owning one for myself, and base my guess on what has
happened in other collectible markets. I am guessing that a fair percentage
of ownership is now with "investors" as opposed to collectors, and that for
"most" collectors after a couple of years the excitement will wear off, and
they will be ready to sell with the first dip in the market price. How well
are the replicas selling?