On the other
hand, nearly everyone agrees that for the Commodore 8-bit
computers, they (i.e. the 64 and 128) were still very strong sellers and
commanded a large software base even as late as 1989.
That's debatable.
When I went to (a fairly small) engineering school from 1988-91-
probably a good sample of home computer nerdiness - there were no kids
with C64s or C128s in the dorm rooms. Sure, their were some that used
to have them, but most had moved on to other platforms. XTs and clones
had the biggest share by far with well over 100 users, and maybe
Amigas taking second place with roughly 15. There were five kids with
Atari STs, three with 8 bit Ataris, two Macs, a Rainbow, a PC junior,
an Interdata, but no 8 bit Commodores or Apples.
I think that the C64 line took a fast nosedive in 1987 - never dying,
but definitely not a strong seller.
I think the problem is your sample environment. The C64 still sold 80,000
units in 1989, building on the already huge extant userbase. (Reference:
http://www.indwes.edu/Faculty/bcupp/Things/Commodore/Development.html)
I would have been very surprised if an engineering school had lots of C64s
in the dorm rooms in the late 1980s. Engineering was never its strong suit
even when it was an even larger market force earlier because it just didn't
have the display or computational chops. But it still was huge as a
general-purpose home computer.
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