Vintage Computer Festival wrote:
There has to be an objective value based on
true scarcity (i.e. how many total units produced), not regional
scarcity, and generally acknowledged historical and/or technical
significance. eBay prices do not generally reflect objective value.
Why does there have to be an objective value? There are far too many
variables to provide any sort of meaningful value, you cite some such as
regional scarcity etc but there are also others such as the physical
state of the item in question, its configuration, what comes with it in
terms of documentation etc, the availability of such documentation if
not included with the item, transport costs, number of people interested.
All these factors play a role and that is why I think eBay prices DO
reflect market value. eBay provides an almost perfect global marketplace
and in such an environment prices will fluctuate around a "market value".
If you as a buyer feel the prices are too high then that simply means
there are people around who consider the value of those items to be
higher than you do. I might as well gripe about the exhorbitant prices
charged for BMW cars, I might be willing to pay say $10,000 for one yet
the "market" price can be as high as $100,000, does my griping change
anything?
I think Michael Nadeau's book made great strides
towards this end, but
refinement is still needed.
Not having had the opportunity to see a copy I cannot comment, but
without denigrating his good work, I would question the real world
relevance of any value placed on any particular machine at a particular
moment in time.
To be sure, prices for old computers will still not
settle in the near
future.
And probably never will, it is a fluid, ever developing market as items
come up for sale and collectors join and leave the community.
-- hbp