On Mon, Dec 23, 2013 at 12:00 PM, BE Arnold <bearnold at outlook.com> wrote:
I think I'm missing something.
I have a question.
Why did microcomputers die off?
Go back and read Byte from the late 1970s through the mid 1980s. Look at
the architecture in the articles and read the ads.
Business computing for that market (i.e., below mini-computers) was largely
S-100-based or an Apple II with a CP/M card. Not long after the PC clones
hit the market, and I mean a few months, you can see PC compatibles
displacing CP/M and S-100 hardware. It didn't go entirely away right away,
but by 1985, look how spares it is compared to 4 years earlier.
Home computing, as you described the category, was, by 1978, heavily
Apple, Commodore, and TRS-80, then Atari joined in, and all grew
dramatically while the other vendors (Ohio Scientific, Quest, etc.,
etc) didn't and eventually faded away. There were not that many S-100
in the same price belt as Commodore and Atari, which was part of why
there was a split in the hobbyist market (as well as age - I went to meetings
in the mid-1970s and saw lots of S-100 machines in the hands of middle-aged
engineers who could afford them, but the younger crowd was more likely to
zoom in on a machine with BASIC in ROM and cassette for primary
storage because they were less expensive and there was no requirement
to be compatible with older stuff).
The big shift I saw was a few years after the PC came out. When it came
out, Apple and Commodore, and to a lesser extent Atari and Radio
Shack, dominated computers in the home. In that environment, hobbyists
were often using DOS on a PC at work and whatever they already had
at home. When the clones came out, bringing the price of a DOS-
compatible into the Apple II price range, that's what people chose as
their next machine, and suddenly, there were PCs in the home that
weren't the PCjr that IBM envisioned would be the way in. To cite a
personal data point, in 1984, I was writing kids software for the
Commodore 64, Apple II, and BBC Micro. We tentatively began to
support the PC, but sales of our product were consistently for the
home models. At the time (around the era of DOS 2.1), there just
weren't as many PCs in homes with children as there were Apples
and C-64s. Two years later it was a different landscape. There
started to be a lot more PC clones as home computers.
As I mentioned - you can see these trends in the ads and articles
in publications like Byte from 1976-1985.
-ethan